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First up: The Drama Series Category

Outstanding Series: Which of these hard-hitting shows will take home the prize? There’s no denying that Breaking Bad has had an incredible run, but it’s this last season that is the one that’s really gotten people buzzing. However, it’s currently being judged on season five, meaning next year may be a more likely win. Homeland could win for the second year in a row… but reception for the last season hasn’t been so great.

Mad Men has my vote… while this wasn’t their best season, they’ve definitely picked up from their brief slump. Then we have Game of Thrones and Downton Abbey, and I’d say between those two, GoT has the edge. Finally, House of Cards stands out due to its incredible reception and unique Netflix platform, but I’m not positive that’s enough to win. The nomination itself seems like a lot. I think it’s between Game of Thrones and Breaking Bad, with Mad Men close behind.

Lead Actor: Jon Hamm has been nominated since Mad Men began, but has yet to win, beaten out by fellow contenders Bryan Cranston for Breaking Bad and Homeland’s Damian Lewis. So is it his turn? It’s a tough call with this many talented men in the ring, but I’m pulling for Kevin Spacey, star of Netflix’s US adaptation of House of Cards.

Spacey was captivating as Frank Underwood, the perfect blend of conniving and charming. Hamm and Hugh Bonneville (Downton Abbey) will just have to wait their turns, and we now know Hamm will eligible for two more award seasons, thanks to AMC’s decision to split the final season of Mad Men in half.

Lead Actress: When nominations were announced, one objection seemed to be louder than most: How on Earth was Tatiana Maslany ignored? If you haven’t heard, Maslany is the star of BBC America’s Orphan Black… SEVEN times over. The Clone Club was in an uproar, and I’m right there with them. The actress has taken the snub in stride, scooping up both a TCA and Critic’s Choice Award for her performances, and we can only hope the ATAS will realize their mistake after what is sure to be a killer second season of Orphan Black.

As for those who were nominated, Homeland’s Claire Danes took it home last year, and is a likely contender, as is Kerry Washington for Scandal. The other nominees are Michelle Dockery (Downton Abbey), Vera Farmiga (Bates Motel), Elisabeth Moss (Mad Men), Connie Britton (Nashville) and Robin Wright (House of Cards). I can’t say I have a strong favorite among any of the ladies here: All are wonderful, but none have the mind-blowing talent of Maslany.

Supporting Actor: With two nominations is the category, the numerical odds are in the favor of either Jonathan Banks or Aaron Paul from Breaking Bad. Personally, I’m pulling for Paul: How often do you see an actor go to such lengths for his show and character, both on screen and off?

Paul has won twice in the past, and is up against Games of Thrones’ Peter Dinklage, who won the category two years ago. Homeland’s Many Patinkin is a strong choice, having been ignored in the past, as are Bobby Cannavale of Boardwalk Empire and the previously-nominated Jim Carter (Downton Abbey). But let’s just give the title to Jesse… I mean, Aaron again, shall we?

Supporting Actress: I have to start off by stating that I LOVE JOAN. I really do. But to be honest, I don’t know if it’s an award-winning kind of love. I certainly wouldn’t be unhappy if Christina Hendricks for her role in Mad Men, but I don’t see it happening. As for the rest of the ladies on this list. I think Anna Gunn (Breaking Bad) and the untouchable Maggie Smith of Downton Abbey are the two to beat. I admit, I know nothing of The Good Wife’s Christine Baranski, and as the newcomers to the category, Emilia Clarke (Game of Thrones) and Homeland’s Morena Baccarin are the least likely contenders. I say you place your bets on the Dame.

Now, onto Comedy…

Outstanding Series: Modern Family has been the safe bet (and dominating show) in the Comedy categories for the last few years, so I wouldn’t put it past them to make this their fourth year in a row winning the series title. Girls has only gotten worse, so I’d say it has a weak chance, and while it has won in the past, I don’t think 30 Rock will be taking home the title for its final season. Veep and The Big Bang Theory are nominated once again, along with first time contender Louie. I’m really pulling for the freshman underdog here: BBT isn’t at its freshest, while Louis C.K.’s pet project is as hot as ever – though I guarantee they’re just happy to finally be nominated. Come on Louie, knock Modern Family off their pedestal!

Lead Actor: I have to admit: I was surprised to see Jason Bateman on this list. I love Arrested Development as much as the next person who waited anxiously for the Netflix-exclusive season to be released, but I feel as though the win would really be more deserved for the original three seasons. Both Louis C.K. of Louie and 30 Rock’s Alec Baldwin are phenomenal, and I’d be happy with either taking home the Emmy.

And of course, Don Cheadle (House of Lies) is always amazing to watch. Finally, Matt LeBlanc (Episodes) and The Big Bang Theory’s Jim Parsons, who were snubbed last year, have made the cut this time around. Despite Parson’s two prior wins, I think (slightly unpopular opinion) BBT is on its way out, so I’d say neither he nor LeBlanc are frontrunners.

Lead Actress: Yes, it’s Tina Fey’s last chance at this award for 30 Rock, but she HAS won before. Which is why I’m vying for her best bud, Parks and Recreation’s Amy Poehler, to finally get her dues. Laura Dern has been making waves for Enlightened, and it’s her last shot, so she may pull through, although both Veep’s Julia Louis-Dreyfus and Lena Dunham (Girls) make for very strong competition.

Rounding out the category is Edie Falco for Nurse Jackie, who hasn’t won since 2010. The winner in my heart is Poehler, but I’d say it’s between Dunham, Dern, and Louis-Dreyfuss. Please prove me wrong, ATAS!

Supporting Actor: Traditionally, the Modern Family men have annihilated this category, as all of their incredibly talented actors are billed as supporting. For the first year, though, Eric Stonestreet is not nominated, but they still hold strong with Jesse Tyler Ferguson, Ed O’Neill and Ty Burrell taking three of the six total nominations. All of them have a good shot at winning, but if I had to pick, my money’s on Burrell.

Also nominated are Girls’ Adam Driver, Tony Hale (Veep) and, for the second time, Bill Hader for Saturday Night Live. As this is Hader’s last chance to win for SNL, I’m rooting for him, but the odds are in favor of the men from Modern Family.

Supporting Actress: Julie Bowen and Sofia Vergara, both from Modern Family, have been nominated once again. While Bowen has won the last two years, Vergara has yet to do so. Could it be her year? I’d say Bowen is still the more likely choice. It’s Jane Krakowski’s last chance for 30 Rock, but somehow I don’t see that happening. The Big Bang Theory’s Mayim Bialik is a possibility, but I actually think Jane Lynch (Glee) has the a better shot at taking home the prize. Finally, Nurse Jackie’s Merritt Wever and Anna Chlumsky of Veep are both solid choices, but not quite strong enough to beat out Bowen.

On to Miniseries/TV Movies…

Outstanding Miniseries/Movie: On the miniseries side, we have the second season of Ryan Murphy’s American Horror Story (Subtitle “Asylum”), BBC Two’s Top of the Lake, last summer’s Political Animals, and the ten-part History Channel series The Bible. For TV movies, there’s the acclaimed Behind the Candelabra from Steven Soderbergh, and the HBO biopic Phil Spector. So who will win? Behind the Candelabra seems the likely winner, especially since it dominated the Creative Arts Emmys last week. That’s certainly no guarantee, though, and I’m holding out hope for AHS: Asylum to swoop in.

Lead Actor: Both Matt Damon and Michael Douglas have taken leading male status for Behind the Candelabra, and with two such magnificent names at play, it seems very likely that one of them will come out on top. However, don’t put it past Al Pacino (who starred as the titular character in Phil Spector) to pull through. My fingers are crossed for Benedict Cumberbatch for his role as the male lead in Parade’s End, but my feeling is that he and The Girl’s Toby Jones are at the bottom of this (very talented) pile.

Lead Actress: Five phenomenal actresses are nominated for this category, and all but one has received an Emmy in the past: Elisabeth Moss (though to be fair, she is the youngest of the bunch). Moss is also up for role in Mad Men, so I hope that she wins for one or the other. Any of these ladies would be a great choice, but I’d like to see Jessica Lange win: Last year, she won for in the supporting category for her smaller (but still-powerful) role in the first season of American Horror Story, and her lead role as Sister Jude in Asylum was even more incredible.