Black Panther has already made history and set numerous records. It was the first Marvel movie with a primarily black cast. It’s the highest-grossing movie of all time with a black director (Ryan Coogler). And it’s currently the third-highest grossing movie ever in the US, trailing only Avatar and The Force Awakens.

Coogler’s masterstroke wasn’t just a box-office success. It was also a critical darling that set a new bar for superhero movies. With a score of 88 on MetaCritic, it is the highest-rated superhero movie to date. In January, it became the first superhero movie to ever be nominated for Best Picture at the Oscars. It proved that a superhero movie can be replete with the most cutting-edge CGI action sequences, yet also tackle divisive topics like race relations and cultural hegemony.

Unfortunately for T’Challa, further accolades may not be on the picturesque Wakandan horizon.

Numerous online sportsbooks are offering prop bets on which Best Picture nominee will take home the coveted award on Feb. 24th. calculates that, on average, Black Panther is a +2500 longshot to win Best Picture. That’s equal to a 3.8% chance.

On a positive note, Black Panther’s chances are roughly level with Bohemian Rhapsody (which won the Golden Globe for Best Drama), and it is ahead of A Star is Born. However, it is leagues behind Green Book (the Best Comedy/Musical winner at the Globes) and even further back of Alfonso Cuaron’s semi-autobiographical Roma.

The oddsmakers see Roma, which wasn’t eligible for Best Drama at the Globes because it’s a foreign language film, as essentially a lock to win Best Picture at the 91st Academy Awards. It’s odds, on average, are -450. That’s equal to an 81.8% chance.

Sportsbooks do get things wrong – horribly, horribly wrong – from time to time. Just last year, eventual winner The Shape of Water was second in the odds to Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri.

In 2017, oddsmakers were further off when La La Land, which had similar odds as Roma, lost out to Moonlight.

That said, Three Billboards and Moonlight had the second-best odds in their respective years. So going too far down the list of favorites may not be wise when it comes to risking actual money. But anyone who has bet against Black Panther in any way, shape, or form to date has probably regretted it. Maybe, just maybe, the Giant Blockbuster that Could has one more piece of history tucked up in its Panther Habit.